Louisiana Tech vs San Jose State 11/24/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Louisiana Tech winning 49% of simulations, and San Jose State 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Louisiana Tech commits fewer turnovers in 36% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. San Jose State wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Colby Cameron is averaging 258 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. David Fales is averaging 407 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (45% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SJST -4
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